Varun Beverages Limited's (NSE:VBL) Stock's On An Uptrend: Are Strong Financials Guiding The Market?

view original post

Most readers would already be aware that Varun Beverages’ (NSE:VBL) stock increased significantly by 7.6% over the past week. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Varun Beverages’ ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company’s management is utilizing the company’s capital. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Varun Beverages

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders’ Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Varun Beverages is:

17% = ₹7.1b ÷ ₹40b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).

The ‘return’ is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each ₹1 of shareholders’ capital it has, the company made ₹0.17 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company’s future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or “retain”, we are then able to evaluate a company’s future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don’t necessarily bear these characteristics.

Varun Beverages’ Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

To start with, Varun Beverages’ ROE looks acceptable. Even when compared to the industry average of 15% the company’s ROE looks quite decent. This probably goes some way in explaining Varun Beverages’ significant 23% net income growth over the past five years amongst other factors. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company’s management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Varun Beverages’ growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 9.4% in the same period, which is great to see.

NSEI:VBL Past Earnings Growth January 14th 2022

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Varun Beverages is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Varun Beverages Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Varun Beverages has a really low three-year median payout ratio of 16%, meaning that it has the remaining 84% left over to reinvest into its business. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

Moreover, Varun Beverages is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of four years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 19% over the next three years. However, Varun Beverages’ future ROE is expected to rise to 23% despite the expected increase in the company’s payout ratio. We infer that there could be other factors that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company’s ROE.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Varun Beverages’ performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.